Author: Maria Vittoria Barbarossa; Jan Fuhrmann; Julian Heidecke; Hridya Vinod Varma; Noemi Castelletti; Jan H Meinke; Stefan Krieg; Thomas Lippert
Title: A first study on the impact of current and future control measures on the spread of COVID-19 in Germany Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 0xymzkzn_23
Snippet: Calibrating our simplest (homogeneous) model on time series for reported cases (data from [2] ) from January 28th until March 13th, 2020 we obtain R 0 = 4.3. This value is obtained assuming minimal or no control measures applied to mitigate the spread of the epidemic and is in line with previous estimates for R 0 in other countries during the initial phase of the outbreak [5, 6] . Figure 2 shows the situation without any control measure applied, .....
Document: Calibrating our simplest (homogeneous) model on time series for reported cases (data from [2] ) from January 28th until March 13th, 2020 we obtain R 0 = 4.3. This value is obtained assuming minimal or no control measures applied to mitigate the spread of the epidemic and is in line with previous estimates for R 0 in other countries during the initial phase of the outbreak [5, 6] . Figure 2 shows the situation without any control measure applied, as the epidemic spreads among the population.
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