Author: Milne, George J; Baskaran, Pravin; Halder, Nilimesh; Karl, Stephan; Kelso, Joel
Title: Pandemic influenza in Papua New Guinea: a modelling study comparison with pandemic spread in a developed country Document date: 2013_3_26
ID: y01w04lc_8
Snippet: However, intervention strategies which modelling shows to be highly effective for developed countries may not be feasible or effective in low-income countries such as Papua New Guinea (PNG) due to different population demographics and resource constraints. Furthermore, little is known about the underlying "drivers" of seasonal and pandemic influenza in the tropics, in contrast to temperate regions having a distinctive winter season [4] . Data fro.....
Document: However, intervention strategies which modelling shows to be highly effective for developed countries may not be feasible or effective in low-income countries such as Papua New Guinea (PNG) due to different population demographics and resource constraints. Furthermore, little is known about the underlying "drivers" of seasonal and pandemic influenza in the tropics, in contrast to temperate regions having a distinctive winter season [4] . Data from the 1918/19 pandemic suggests a much higher attack rate in India compared to Europe and the USA [5, 6] . The aim of this study is to confirm this pattern, between developing and developed countries, and to explain why this higher attack rate occurs.
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