Author: Maria Vittoria Barbarossa; Jan Fuhrmann; Julian Heidecke; Hridya Vinod Varma; Noemi Castelletti; Jan H Meinke; Stefan Krieg; Thomas Lippert
Title: A first study on the impact of current and future control measures on the spread of COVID-19 in Germany Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 0xymzkzn_24
Snippet: The severity of the outbreak is highly dependent on contacts with infectives (symptomatic or not). A reduction in contact rates of all individuals postpones and lowers the peak in the curve of currently active infections (cf. Fig. 3(a) ). Under our working hypotheses, asymptomatic individuals are those with highest contact rates (due to absence of symptoms), while detected COVID-19 cases are those with lowest contact rates, though not being compl.....
Document: The severity of the outbreak is highly dependent on contacts with infectives (symptomatic or not). A reduction in contact rates of all individuals postpones and lowers the peak in the curve of currently active infections (cf. Fig. 3(a) ). Under our working hypotheses, asymptomatic individuals are those with highest contact rates (due to absence of symptoms), while detected COVID-19 cases are those with lowest contact rates, though not being completely isolated. Reduction of contacts of asymptomatic infectives, as well as successful measures for early detection of new infections are potential measures to reduce the basic reproduction number, hence the severity of the outbreak (cf. Fig. 3(b) ).
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