Selected article for: "additional number and total number"
Author: Maria Vittoria Barbarossa; Jan Fuhrmann; Julian Heidecke; Hridya Vinod Varma; Noemi Castelletti; Jan H Meinke; Stefan Krieg; Thomas Lippert
Title: A first study on the impact of current and future control measures on the spread of COVID-19 in Germany
  • Document date: 2020_4_11
    • ID: 0xymzkzn_62
    Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056630 doi: medRxiv preprint We should remark that the choice of parameters in our model rests on several assumptions that are not particularly well founded in data. Firstly, there is significant uncertainty regarding the current number of undetected cases and therefore the current detection ratio. This clearly affects any assumptions on possible increases of that ratio.....
    Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20056630 doi: medRxiv preprint We should remark that the choice of parameters in our model rests on several assumptions that are not particularly well founded in data. Firstly, there is significant uncertainty regarding the current number of undetected cases and therefore the current detection ratio. This clearly affects any assumptions on possible increases of that ratio. In scenarios without additional testing (T0), the total number of infectives at a given time is supposed to be tenfold higher than the number of known cases. Assuming increased testing (T1), the factor reduces to 1.7, while for vastly increased testing (T1+) also of asymptomatic individuals we assume that only 25% of infectives remain undetected, meaning that the number of infectives at a given time is 1.35 times the number of known active cases.

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