Author: Kim, Dong-Hyun; Choe, Young June; Jeong, Jin-Young
Title: Understanding and Interpretation of Case Fatality Rate of Coronavirus Disease 2019 Document date: 2020_3_27
ID: rhf8991b_1
Snippet: The crude rate from aggregated data (the total number of deaths divided by the total number of cases) does not give a timely estimate during the course of the outbreak. The final CFR will be different from the early outbreak as the report of affected person's outcome will be delayed inherently. Change in CFR in the progress of an epidemic has been observed in other outbreaks of novel viruses. In the earlier phase of severe acute respiratory syndr.....
Document: The crude rate from aggregated data (the total number of deaths divided by the total number of cases) does not give a timely estimate during the course of the outbreak. The final CFR will be different from the early outbreak as the report of affected person's outcome will be delayed inherently. Change in CFR in the progress of an epidemic has been observed in other outbreaks of novel viruses. In the earlier phase of severe acute respiratory syndrome epidemic in 2003, the CFR was reported to be less than 4%, which was ended up to be 9.6%. 3 Reports on the COVID-19's CFR also varied by timeline that started from 5.8% to 1.4% in Wuhan, China. 4 The exact CFR from COVID-19 that reflects the true disease severity will likely be unveiled when the dust settles down after weeks or months.
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