Author: Meher K Prakash
Title: Community Memory of COVID-19 Infections Post Lockdown as a Surrogate for Incubation Time Document date: 2020_4_20
ID: 4iwyjk8n_8
Snippet: Clearly this incubation is not sufficient to explain the new cases in all countries. If one predicts the new infections post lockdown in Italy, one sees there are more infections than what may be expected purely from a median incubation of 13.3 days (=l.(ln2) 1/k ) for the said distribution (Supplementary Figure 1) . However, since there is no reason to believe that the nature of the infections in Italy are different from its neighbor Switzerland.....
Document: Clearly this incubation is not sufficient to explain the new cases in all countries. If one predicts the new infections post lockdown in Italy, one sees there are more infections than what may be expected purely from a median incubation of 13.3 days (=l.(ln2) 1/k ) for the said distribution (Supplementary Figure 1) . However, since there is no reason to believe that the nature of the infections in Italy are different from its neighbor Switzerland (which also has similar incubation time as the countries discussed here), it appears that one should look beyond the incubation to understand the persistent infections.
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