Author: Anatoly Zhigljavsky; Roger Whitaker; Ivan Fesenko; Yakov Kremnitzer; Jack Noonan
Title: Comparison of different exit scenarios from the lock-down for COVID-19 epidemic in the UK and assessing uncertainty of the predictions Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: mipdahk4_60
Snippet: Proportions of people with severe case at time t is the main characteristic needed for planning NHS work-load. The proportion of people with severe case from group G discharged at time t is proportional to the expected number of deaths after multiplying this number by δ and the size of the group G; similar calculations can be done for the rest of population. Note that in these calculations we do not take into consideration an extremely important.....
Document: Proportions of people with severe case at time t is the main characteristic needed for planning NHS work-load. The proportion of people with severe case from group G discharged at time t is proportional to the expected number of deaths after multiplying this number by δ and the size of the group G; similar calculations can be done for the rest of population. Note that in these calculations we do not take into consideration an extremely important factor of hospital bed availability are at time t. Currently, we do not have a model for this. We provide the values of the overall expected death toll. In the case of no lock-down, this toll would be 24(7+17)K, where the first number in the bracket correspond to the rest of population and the second one to the group G.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- death toll and expected number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15
- death toll and hospital bed: 1
- death toll and main characteristic: 1
- expected number and extremely important factor: 1
- expected number and hospital bed: 1
- expected number and main characteristic: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date