Author: Milne, George J; Baskaran, Pravin; Halder, Nilimesh; Karl, Stephan; Kelso, Joel
Title: Pandemic influenza in Papua New Guinea: a modelling study comparison with pandemic spread in a developed country Document date: 2013_3_26
ID: y01w04lc_12
Snippet: Census and country-wide data from the PNG National Statistics Office [17] together with field collected data was used to construct the Madang model. Following the methodology used to construct the Albany model, each household is explicitly represented, with occupants in one of 7 age categories. Schools, workplace and other mixing hubs were represented and persons allocated to them according to age category, so connecting households and hubs. Usin.....
Document: Census and country-wide data from the PNG National Statistics Office [17] together with field collected data was used to construct the Madang model. Following the methodology used to construct the Albany model, each household is explicitly represented, with occupants in one of 7 age categories. Schools, workplace and other mixing hubs were represented and persons allocated to them according to age category, so connecting households and hubs. Using transmission characteristics calibrated with the Australian model, simulations were performed using the Madang model and data extracted. These captured the day-to-day infection profile of the population following introduction of a novel strain of influenza into the modelled community, assuming no existing immunity.
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