Author: Kim, Yunhwan; Lee, Sunmi; Chu, Chaeshin; Choe, Seoyun; Hong, Saeme; Shin, Youngseo
Title: The Characteristics of Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Transmission Dynamics in South Korea Document date: 2016_1_18
ID: u5qt9es8_15
Snippet: As a result, the estimated value of the transmission rate b is 0.0835 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.0835e0.0835] and the transmissibility of hospitalized patients l is 22 (95% CI, 18.7303e25.2697) in Period 1, and b is 0.036 (95% CI, 0.0306e0.0414) and l is 1 (95% CI, 0.1597e1.8403) in Period 2. Also, as mentioned in the previous section, the basic reproduction number is calculated. Using our estimated values of b and l, R 0 is 5.3973(95% CI, .....
Document: As a result, the estimated value of the transmission rate b is 0.0835 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.0835e0.0835] and the transmissibility of hospitalized patients l is 22 (95% CI, 18.7303e25.2697) in Period 1, and b is 0.036 (95% CI, 0.0306e0.0414) and l is 1 (95% CI, 0.1597e1.8403) in Period 2. Also, as mentioned in the previous section, the basic reproduction number is calculated. Using our estimated values of b and l, R 0 is 5.3973(95% CI, 4.6057e6.1888) in Period 1 and 0.1351 (95% CI, 0.0403e0.2562) in Period 2. The remarkably larger value of R 0 in Period 1 than in Period 2 is considered to be attributed to the superspreader.
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