Author: Santillana, Mauricio; Tuite, Ashleigh; Nasserie, Tahmina; Fine, Paul; Champredon, David; Chindelevitch, Leonid; Dushoff, Jonathan; Fisman, David
Title: Relatedness of the incidence decay with exponential adjustment (IDEA) model, “Farr's law” and SIR compartmental difference equation models Document date: 2018_3_9
ID: tmt8vdzj_45
Snippet: However, as this model is phenomenological, rather than mechanistic in nature, the putative epidemiological mechanisms underlying model performance are not of immediate importance. Indeed, while the simplicity of this approach may be regarded as a limitation, the simplicity of the form, and its implicit incorporation of biological, social, medical, and behavioral drivers of control into a single parameter estimated via fitting, may be a strength,.....
Document: However, as this model is phenomenological, rather than mechanistic in nature, the putative epidemiological mechanisms underlying model performance are not of immediate importance. Indeed, while the simplicity of this approach may be regarded as a limitation, the simplicity of the form, and its implicit incorporation of biological, social, medical, and behavioral drivers of control into a single parameter estimated via fitting, may be a strength, especially given that such control factors as behavior change due to fear may be difficult or impossible to measure in real time.
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