Author: Mizumoto, Kenji; Chowell, Gerardo
Title: Transmission potential of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) onboard the diamond Princess Cruises Ship, 2020 Document date: 2020_2_29
ID: ue7g2vpx_23
Snippet: Our results indicate that R t declined following the quarantine measures implemented by the Japanese government on February 5 relative to values during the early phase of the outbreak (National Instatitute of Infectious Disease, 2020). Importantly, only those passengers and crew who tested positive for the novel coronavirus were permitted to disembark the Diamond Princess Ship, with more than 80 percentage of the passengers and crews still on boa.....
Document: Our results indicate that R t declined following the quarantine measures implemented by the Japanese government on February 5 relative to values during the early phase of the outbreak (National Instatitute of Infectious Disease, 2020). Importantly, only those passengers and crew who tested positive for the novel coronavirus were permitted to disembark the Diamond Princess Ship, with more than 80 percentage of the passengers and crews still on board as of February 18, 2020. Our latest overall estimate of R t at 0.35 (95%CrI: 0.02, 2.19) with only 2% of R t estimates lying above the epidemic threshold of 1.0 suggested a low probability of observing a subsequent outbreak aboard the Diamond Princess Ship.
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