High admission blood glucose independently predicts poor prognosis in COVID-19 patients: A systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

Lazarus, Gilbert; Audrey, Jessica; Kharisma Wangsaputra, Vincent; Tamara, Alice; Tahapary, Dicky L.

Aims To investigate the prognostic value of admission blood glucose (BG) in predicting COVID-19 outcomes, including poor composite outcomes (mortality/severity), mortality, and severity. Methods Eligible studies evaluating the association between admission fasting BG (FBG) and random BG (RBG) levels with COVID-19 outcomes were included and assessed for risk of bias with the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool. Random-effects dose-response meta-analysis was conducted to investigate potential linear or non-linear exposure-response gradient. Results The search yielded 35 studies involving a total of 14,502 patients. We discovered independent association between admission FBG and poor COVID-19 prognosis. Furthermore, we demonstrated non-linear relationship between admission FBG and severity (Pnon-linearity<0.001), where each 1 mmol/L increase augmented the risk of severity by 33% (risk ratio 1.33 [95% CI: 1.26-1.40]). Albeit exhibiting similar trends, study scarcity limited the evidence strength on the independent prognostic value of admission RBG. GRADE assessment yielded high-quality evidence for the association between admission FBG and COVID-19 severity, and moderate-quality evidence for its association with mortality and poor outcomes. Conclusion High admission FBG level independently predicted poor COVID-19 prognosis. Further research to confirm the prognostic value of admission RBG and to ascertain the estimated dose-response risk between admission FBG and COVID-19 severity are required.