Author: Michael E. Hochberg
Title: Countries should aim to lower the reproduction number R close to 1.0 for the short-term mitigation of COVID-19 outbreaks Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: f36smzln_22
Snippet: The fraction of the population infected by SARS-CoV-2 depends on the start day of mitigation measures, the time horizon, and the impact of measures on â„›0 (Figure 2) . As expected, delaying intervention results in larger fractions of a population infected at any given time, and infected levels are lower for the shorter (80 day) compared to the longer (200 days) time horizons. However, the differences between the two time-horizons decrease as imp.....
Document: The fraction of the population infected by SARS-CoV-2 depends on the start day of mitigation measures, the time horizon, and the impact of measures on ℛ0 (Figure 2) . As expected, delaying intervention results in larger fractions of a population infected at any given time, and infected levels are lower for the shorter (80 day) compared to the longer (200 days) time horizons. However, the differences between the two time-horizons decrease as impacts on ℛ0 increase (cf. values beyond a 60% decrease in ℛ0 -corresponding to ℛC≲1.0 -in Figs. 2A,B) .
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