Author: Michael E. Hochberg
Title: Countries should aim to lower the reproduction number R close to 1.0 for the short-term mitigation of COVID-19 outbreaks Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: f36smzln_34
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04. 14.20065268 doi: medRxiv preprint We conclude that the key short-term target of mitigation measures is to lower the reproductive number as close as possible to 1.0, but that values slightly above are acceptable, especially if the numbers of circulating cases is very low. Mitigation measures engaged once an outbreak approaches its peak will have substantially less impact on .....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04. 14.20065268 doi: medRxiv preprint We conclude that the key short-term target of mitigation measures is to lower the reproductive number as close as possible to 1.0, but that values slightly above are acceptable, especially if the numbers of circulating cases is very low. Mitigation measures engaged once an outbreak approaches its peak will have substantially less impact on infections and lessened fatalities than when started early. Given that different combinations of measures and their detailed deployments will influence â„›, empirical and modeling research is urgently needed to establish optimal packages that prioritize those measures also sustaining individual freedoms, society and the economy.
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