Author: Naomie Salim; Weng Howe Chan; Shuhaimi Mansor; Nor Erne Nazira Bazin; Safiya Amaran; Ahmad Athif Mohd Faudzi; Anazida Zainal; Sharin Hazlin Huspi; Eric Jiun Hooi Khoo; Shaekh Mohammad Shithil
Title: COVID-19 epidemic in Malaysia: Impact of lock-down on infection dynamics Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 652vzlq6_81
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20057463 doi: medRxiv preprint Figure 24 . Actual vs. simulated output. Active cases are those still infected (actual infected -recovereddeath) with contact rate 1:5 until end of June Based on Figure 24 , the actual active infected and actual recovered are following the projection of the simulation where 1 infected person is still in conta.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.08.20057463 doi: medRxiv preprint Figure 24 . Actual vs. simulated output. Active cases are those still infected (actual infected -recovereddeath) with contact rate 1:5 until end of June Based on Figure 24 , the actual active infected and actual recovered are following the projection of the simulation where 1 infected person is still in contact with 5 persons up to end of June before the contact rate is totally restricted to zero. If the actual infected cases and number of recovered continue to follow the projection, there will be a peak of 22,421 active cases on the 17 th of May 2020. Based on this model, our major findings can be summarized as:
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