Author: Naomie Salim; Weng Howe Chan; Shuhaimi Mansor; Nor Erne Nazira Bazin; Safiya Amaran; Ahmad Athif Mohd Faudzi; Anazida Zainal; Sharin Hazlin Huspi; Eric Jiun Hooi Khoo; Shaekh Mohammad Shithil
Title: COVID-19 epidemic in Malaysia: Impact of lock-down on infection dynamics Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 652vzlq6_82
Snippet: 1. MCO1 has taken no effect in restricting the contact of an infected person 2. Actual total infected cases are higher than the projection with MCO. Simulation output for total infected with further restriction of contact rate of an infected person (1:1) during MCO2 is lower than actual data (see Figure 19 ). 3. Actual active infected cases are following the projection of contact rate 1:5 as in Figure 24 (showing low compliance of MCO) which will.....
Document: 1. MCO1 has taken no effect in restricting the contact of an infected person 2. Actual total infected cases are higher than the projection with MCO. Simulation output for total infected with further restriction of contact rate of an infected person (1:1) during MCO2 is lower than actual data (see Figure 19 ). 3. Actual active infected cases are following the projection of contact rate 1:5 as in Figure 24 (showing low compliance of MCO) which will result in the peak of active infected cases = 22,421 on 17 th May 2020. 4. All measures must be taken to make sure that MCO2 compliance is at 100% to avoid higher increase of active cases and to stop the chain of the infection. 5. If the trend of actual data follows the projection in Figure 24 , this shows that MCO2 has low compliance. MCO3 must be considered with full enforcement to restrict all the contact to the infected person.
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