Selected article for: "contact rate and Î contact rate"

Author: Andrew J Stier; Marc G Berman; Luis M. A. Bettencourt
Title: COVID-19 attack rate increases with city size
  • Document date: 2020_3_27
  • ID: aeminwf0_8
    Snippet: This is a large effect. Based on data of mobile phone social networks (8) , people living in a city of 500,000 have, on average, 11 people in their mobile phone social network, while people living in a city of 5,000,000 people have approximately 15. This is relevant to disease transmission as the average contact rate is proportional to degree β ∝ k(N ) (see Materials and Methods). Therefore, we expect that initial growth rates of COVID-19 case.....
    Document: This is a large effect. Based on data of mobile phone social networks (8) , people living in a city of 500,000 have, on average, 11 people in their mobile phone social network, while people living in a city of 5,000,000 people have approximately 15. This is relevant to disease transmission as the average contact rate is proportional to degree β ∝ k(N ) (see Materials and Methods). Therefore, we expect that initial growth rates of COVID-19 cases to be higher in larger cities (see Materials and Methods) . This is what is found empirically (see Figure 1A) .

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