Catastrophic impact of Covid‐19 on the global stock markets and economic activities

Chowdhury, Emon Kalyan; Khan, Iffat Ishrat; Dhar, Bablu Kumar

This paper intends to know the influence of COVID‐19 on the stock markets and economic activities across the world. To achieve the purpose, daily panel data of 12 selective countries covering four continents from January to April 2020 have been collected. The impact on stock markets has been measured by applying the event study method, while the panel vector autoregressive model has been applied to measure the impact on economic activities. The stock index of each country, purchasing managers’ index, COVID‐19 variables, namely the number of lockdown days, restriction in internal movement, restriction in international travel, fiscal measure, and confirmed cases have been used. The study observes the serious negative impact of the pandemic on stock market returns. European stock markets are the worst sufferer compared to others. All pandemic variables have a negative impact on stock markets; moreover, lockdown days and restriction on movement have a negative impact on economic activities. This study considers such countries which significantly represent the world economy and are a serious victim of COVID‐19 pandemic. The outcome‐based recommendations will help governments, regulatory authority, and policymakers to combat the crisis in different dimensions.