Author: Michael E. Hochberg
Title: Countries should aim to lower the reproduction number R close to 1.0 for the short-term mitigation of COVID-19 outbreaks Document date: 2020_4_17
ID: f36smzln_24
Snippet: Lives saved by mitigation measures is influenced by the same factors considered above, but in an inverse way compared to total infections (cf. Figs. 2,3) . Notably, reductions in ℛ0 approaching and exceeding 60%, corresponding to ℛC≲1.0, have major benefits to reducing fatalities, particularly when measures are started with minimum delays (Fig. 3) . Delays of 40 or more days never exceed saving more than 50% of lives that would have been lo.....
Document: Lives saved by mitigation measures is influenced by the same factors considered above, but in an inverse way compared to total infections (cf. Figs. 2,3) . Notably, reductions in ℛ0 approaching and exceeding 60%, corresponding to ℛC≲1.0, have major benefits to reducing fatalities, particularly when measures are started with minimum delays (Fig. 3) . Delays of 40 or more days never exceed saving more than 50% of lives that would have been lost without measures, even if the reproduction number is lowered by 100% to 0.0. As for the total number of individuals infected, the shortcomings of insufficient impacts on ℛ0 accrue with time (cf. Figs. 3A,B) .
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