Author: Harry P Wetzler; Erica A Wetzler
Title: Covid-19 excess deaths in the United States through July 2020 Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: efarquxn_8
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint The average CIR of 2.28% yields a dynamic CIR of 4.26% on April 10, 2020-20 days before the end of April 2020.That means that nearly 14 million people in the US would be infected on April 10, 2020. The dynamic CIR for the Spiegelhalter IFRs is 3.61% corresponding to 11.9 million infected. Figure 1 illustrates the CIRs from March 12,2020 through April 10, 2020. The IHME pr.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint The average CIR of 2.28% yields a dynamic CIR of 4.26% on April 10, 2020-20 days before the end of April 2020.That means that nearly 14 million people in the US would be infected on April 10, 2020. The dynamic CIR for the Spiegelhalter IFRs is 3.61% corresponding to 11.9 million infected. Figure 1 illustrates the CIRs from March 12,2020 through April 10, 2020. The IHME predicts that deaths will not increase after the end of June. The asymptotic CIRs at that time are 3.78%% using the Verity IFRs and 3.12% with Spiegelhalter's IFRs.
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