Author: Yi Li; Meng Liang; Xianhong Yin; Xiaoyu Liu; Meng Hao; Zixin Hu; Yi Wang; Li Jin
Title: COVID-19 Epidemic Outside China: 34 Founders and Exponential Growth Document date: 2020_3_3
ID: 7reqkx3h_16
Snippet: We first explored the data by plotting log transformed daily number. We observed a good linear trend recently, but a relatively poor fit at the beginning of spread. We therefore consider that there are some unobserved founder patients at the beginning. Based on exploratory data analysis and mathematical intuition we proposed the following model:.....
Document: We first explored the data by plotting log transformed daily number. We observed a good linear trend recently, but a relatively poor fit at the beginning of spread. We therefore consider that there are some unobserved founder patients at the beginning. Based on exploratory data analysis and mathematical intuition we proposed the following model:
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