Author: Yohannes Kinfu; Uzma Alam; Tom Achoki
Title: COVID-19 pandemic in the African continent: forecasts of cumulative cases, new infections, and mortality Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: atee6lis_35
Snippet: Modeling and predicting the epidemiology and trajectory of a disease such as COVID-19 is a challenging exercise. Firstly, COVID-19 is a newly identified pathogen and knowledge about the characteristics of the virus, including how the disease is spread and the time from exposure to onset of symptoms are still evolving. Secondly, at the time of writing, less than a handful of countries had reached a plateau in their infection rate, and this makes m.....
Document: Modeling and predicting the epidemiology and trajectory of a disease such as COVID-19 is a challenging exercise. Firstly, COVID-19 is a newly identified pathogen and knowledge about the characteristics of the virus, including how the disease is spread and the time from exposure to onset of symptoms are still evolving. Secondly, at the time of writing, less than a handful of countries had reached a plateau in their infection rate, and this makes modeling future trends an open-ended exercise.
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