Author: Jane Courtney
Title: COVID-19: Tracking the Pandemic with A Simple Curve Approximation Tool (SCAT) Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 6kl6uso6_34
Snippet: However, it can be difficult to approximate this capacity for several reasons. Firstly, the number of critical care beds available is dynamic depending on occupancy rates. Secondly, the number of active COVID-19 cases is also dynamic as patients either die or recover. Also, most cases of COVID-19 are mild and do not require hospitalisation so using the daily cases curve is not necessarily helpful. Finally, the national figures for overall healthc.....
Document: However, it can be difficult to approximate this capacity for several reasons. Firstly, the number of critical care beds available is dynamic depending on occupancy rates. Secondly, the number of active COVID-19 cases is also dynamic as patients either die or recover. Also, most cases of COVID-19 are mild and do not require hospitalisation so using the daily cases curve is not necessarily helpful. Finally, the national figures for overall healthcare system capacity do not reflect the geographical spreadwhile the hospitals in Lombardy were overwhelmed, it would not be feasible to send a critical care patient to Sicily or Puglia to be treated if that's where critical care beds were available. is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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