Selected article for: "April end and death toll"
Author: Balram Rai; Anandi Shukla; Laxmi Kant Dwivedi
Title: COVID-19 in India: Predictions, Reproduction Number and Public Health Preparedness
  • Document date: 2020_4_14
    • ID: i2mafyzi_26
    Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.09.20059261 doi: medRxiv preprint exponentially in upcoming days, then the number of active cases will rise to 2,49,365, and death toll will rise to 18,739. The number of recovered cases is expected to be 16,605 until the end of April. The number of confirmed cases will reach to 50,000 and then 1,00,000 on the 20th of April and the 24th o.....
    Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.09.20059261 doi: medRxiv preprint exponentially in upcoming days, then the number of active cases will rise to 2,49,365, and death toll will rise to 18,739. The number of recovered cases is expected to be 16,605 until the end of April. The number of confirmed cases will reach to 50,000 and then 1,00,000 on the 20th of April and the 24th of April, respectively. The exponential growth models fit very closely with the number of observed cases that indicates India has already reached the exponential phase of growth in the number of COVID-19 cases. Most countries have experienced exponential growth in COVID-19 cases, including China, USA, Italy, Spain, Germany, France. It took only 15 days in the USA to climb the number of confirmed cases from 1,000 to 1,00,00 as reported by center for disease control and prevention. 19 The exponential phase may continue to increase until some serious preventive measures are taken (Figure 2 ). Predicted Active cases based on exponential growth model . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.

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