Author: Balram Rai; Anandi Shukla; Laxmi Kant Dwivedi
Title: COVID-19 in India: Predictions, Reproduction Number and Public Health Preparedness Document date: 2020_4_14
ID: i2mafyzi_3
Snippet: In India, the first positive case of the COVID-19 was detected on the 30th of January, 2020, in Kerala. 9 The cases started to increase from the first week of March 2020. The majority of the patients initially identified had a traveling history. These cases worked as primary cases and infected others. Hence, it becomes a thing of utmost importance to estimate the transmission dynamics in the initial days of infectious disease outbreak and inform .....
Document: In India, the first positive case of the COVID-19 was detected on the 30th of January, 2020, in Kerala. 9 The cases started to increase from the first week of March 2020. The majority of the patients initially identified had a traveling history. These cases worked as primary cases and infected others. Hence, it becomes a thing of utmost importance to estimate the transmission dynamics in the initial days of infectious disease outbreak and inform predictions about the potential growth of cases. 10 This prediction can provide insights into the epidemiology of the disease, which helps policymakers to check health system capacities. It can identify whether the control measures are having a measurable effect or not [11] [12] ; also, a prediction model can be updated to estimate the risk for other countries. 13 The transmissibility of COVID-19 from human . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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