A Descriptive Analysis of the Scientific Literature on Meteorological and Air Quality Factors and COVID‐19

Quintana, Amanda V.; Clemons, Meredith; Hoevemeyer, Krista; Liu, Ann; Balbus, John

The role of meteorological and air quality factors in moderating the transmission of SARS‐CoV‐2 and severity of COVID‐19 is a critical topic as an opportunity for targeted intervention and relevant public health messaging. Studies conducted in early 2020 suggested that temperature, humidity, ultraviolet radiation, and other meteorological factors have an influence on the transmissibility and viral dynamics of COVID‐19. Previous reviews of the literature have found significant heterogeneity in associations but did not examine many factors relating to epidemiological quality of the analyses such as rigor of data collection and statistical analysis, or consideration of potential confounding factors. To provide greater insight into the current state of the literature from an epidemiological standpoint, the authors conducted a rapid descriptive analysis with a strong focus on the characterization of COVID‐19 health outcomes and use of controls for confounding social and demographic variables such as population movement and age. We have found that few studies adequately considered the challenges posed by the use of governmental reporting of laboratory testing as a proxy for disease transmission, including timeliness and consistency. In addition, very few studies attempted to control for confounding factors, including timing and implementation of public health interventions and metrics of population compliance with those interventions. Ongoing research should give greater consideration to the measures used to quantify COVID‐19 transmission and health outcomes as well as how to control for the confounding influences of public health measures and personal behaviors.