Selected article for: "capacity demand and Isolation curve"
Author: Richard M Wood; Christopher J McWilliams; Matthew J Thomas; Christopher P Bourdeaux; Christos Vasilakis
Title: COVID-19 scenario modelling for the mitigation of capacity-dependent deaths in intensive care: computer simulation study
  • Document date: 2020_4_6
    • ID: e79k4q76_33
    Snippet: Should any additional government-led isolation strategies be effective in further flattening the epidemic curve for cases requiring intensive care, then a substantial reduction in peak deaths from 53 to 33 would be expected (i.e. Scenario 6 c.f. Scenario 2). However, without increases to capacity this simply spreads the deaths over a longer period of time, rather than reducing the total by a significant amount (2296 c.f. 2521). To achieve a signi.....
    Document: Should any additional government-led isolation strategies be effective in further flattening the epidemic curve for cases requiring intensive care, then a substantial reduction in peak deaths from 53 to 33 would be expected (i.e. Scenario 6 c.f. Scenario 2). However, without increases to capacity this simply spreads the deaths over a longer period of time, rather than reducing the total by a significant amount (2296 c.f. 2521). To achieve a significant reduction in total deaths then any "flattening" of demand must be accompanied by increases in capacity. If this can be accomplished, alongside the afore-mentioned reductions in length of stay, then such synergy becomes evident, cutting total capacity-dependent deaths to just over 1000, reducing the peak per day to 22, and shortening the continuous time operating at full capacity.

    Search related documents:
    Co phrase search for related documents
    • capacity increase and demand flattening: 1, 2
    • capacity increase and epidemic curve: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • capacity increase and epidemic curve flatten: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • capacity increase and intensive care: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
    • capacity increase and intensive care require: 1, 2
    • continuous time and epidemic curve: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • continuous time and intensive care: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
    • continuous time and intensive care require: 1, 2
    • day peak and demand flattening: 1
    • day peak and epidemic curve: 1, 2, 3
    • day peak and intensive care: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
    • death spread and intensive care: 1, 2, 3, 4
    • demand flattening and epidemic curve: 1
    • demand flattening and intensive care: 1, 2, 3
    • epidemic curve and intensive care: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18
    • epidemic curve flatten and intensive care: 1