Selected article for: "capacity stay and significant reduction"
Author: Richard M Wood; Christopher J McWilliams; Matthew J Thomas; Christopher P Bourdeaux; Christos Vasilakis
Title: COVID-19 scenario modelling for the mitigation of capacity-dependent deaths in intensive care: computer simulation study
  • Document date: 2020_4_6
    • ID: e79k4q76_33
    Snippet: Should any additional government-led isolation strategies be effective in further flattening the epidemic curve for cases requiring intensive care, then a substantial reduction in peak deaths from 53 to 33 would be expected (i.e. Scenario 6 c.f. Scenario 2). However, without increases to capacity this simply spreads the deaths over a longer period of time, rather than reducing the total by a significant amount (2296 c.f. 2521). To achieve a signi.....
    Document: Should any additional government-led isolation strategies be effective in further flattening the epidemic curve for cases requiring intensive care, then a substantial reduction in peak deaths from 53 to 33 would be expected (i.e. Scenario 6 c.f. Scenario 2). However, without increases to capacity this simply spreads the deaths over a longer period of time, rather than reducing the total by a significant amount (2296 c.f. 2521). To achieve a significant reduction in total deaths then any "flattening" of demand must be accompanied by increases in capacity. If this can be accomplished, alongside the afore-mentioned reductions in length of stay, then such synergy becomes evident, cutting total capacity-dependent deaths to just over 1000, reducing the peak per day to 22, and shortening the continuous time operating at full capacity.

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