Author: Askery Canabarro; Elayne Tenorio; Renato Martins; Lais Martins; Samurai Brito; Rafael Chaves
Title: Data-Driven Study of the the COVID-19 Pandemic via Age-Structured Modelling and Prediction of the Health System Failure in Brazil amid Diverse Intervention Strategies Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: kyy4z4wu_26
Snippet: The data fitting shown in Fig. 2 indicates that in Brazil the R 0 ≈ 3 is still high nevertheless the current control measures. It means that one infected person, on average, is contaminating 3 other individuals. A clear indication that Brazil should not relax the NPIs adopted so far. In fact, as we will show in the next section, even stronger measures are going to be needed to avoid surpassing the capacity of the national health system and, con.....
Document: The data fitting shown in Fig. 2 indicates that in Brazil the R 0 ≈ 3 is still high nevertheless the current control measures. It means that one infected person, on average, is contaminating 3 other individuals. A clear indication that Brazil should not relax the NPIs adopted so far. In fact, as we will show in the next section, even stronger measures are going to be needed to avoid surpassing the capacity of the national health system and, consequently, minimize the number of severe cases and deaths. As we seek to estimate the demand for ICUs and it depends heavily on the number of infected (see Eq. 6), we are going to use to value of R 0 which best fits the variable I, so R 0 = 2.9 (even though the fit for D seems visually more accurate). It implies β = R 0 * (α i + γ i ) = 2.39.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- clear indication and infected number: 1
- control measure and current control measure: 1, 2, 3, 4
- control measure and health system: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- control measure and infected number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- control measure and infected person: 1, 2, 3, 4
- control measure and national health system: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date