Author: Shaun A Truelove; Orit Abrahim; Chiara Altare; Andrew Azman; Paul B Spiegel
Title: COVID-19: Projecting the impact in Rohingya refugee camps and beyond Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: 6njag0dq_10
Snippet: Adjusted for the age distribution in the Kutupalong-Balukhali Expansion Site, we estimated that 3.6% (1.2-9.3%) of infections in this population would result in severe disease and hospitalization. The maximum daily hospitalization capacity needed ranges between 4,192 (95% CI, 2,391-6,143) in the low transmission scenario and 11,567 (95% CI, 8,228-15,865) beds in the high (Table 1 ). Under the low transmission scenario, hospitalization needs excee.....
Document: Adjusted for the age distribution in the Kutupalong-Balukhali Expansion Site, we estimated that 3.6% (1.2-9.3%) of infections in this population would result in severe disease and hospitalization. The maximum daily hospitalization capacity needed ranges between 4,192 (95% CI, 2,391-6,143) in the low transmission scenario and 11,567 (95% CI, 8,228-15,865) beds in the high (Table 1 ). Under the low transmission scenario, hospitalization needs exceeded the hospitalization capacity of 340 beds after 139 days (95% CI, 99-198 days) while in the high transmission scenario, this occurred after only 58 days (95% CI, 43-79 days; Table 1 , Figure 3 ). Within 3 months of successful introduction, we estimated 16 (95% CI, 0-69) cumulative ICU admissions in the low transmission scenario compared to 4,469 (95% CI, 1,182-6,101) in the high transmission scenario ( Table 2 ).
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