COVID-19 Outbreak Situations in Bangladesh: An Empirical Analysis

Md Hasinur Rahaman Khan; Ahmed Hossain

Our projected number of severe and ICU patients might help the government of Bangladesh to prepare the number of hospital beds including ICU beds, health staff to tackle the potential demand of COVID-19 patients. However, our findings provide an indication of the challenges that the Bangladesh health care system will face if the COVID-19 epidemic progresses unabated. For giving tratment to critical patients fully functional ICU beds are crucial. The ICU beds are not useful in the absence of an adequate number of trained critical health-care workers, medical supplies like personal protective equipment (PPE) that are needed for crisis management. Therefor, the government, hospital administrators, and policy makers must work with ICU doctors and nurses to prepare for a substantial increase in critical care bed capacity. Goverment must protect in unprecedented ways the health-care workers from nosocomial transmission and physical exhaustion including several mental health issues. We believe this study will help the Government and health-care workers in preparing their plans for the next two or three weeks. Our predictions by both methods are suitable for both short-term and medium-term interval, and these models can be tuned for forecasting in long-term intervals.