Author: Joshua A Salomon
Title: Defining high-value information for COVID-19 decision-making Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: iymhykq8_5
Snippet: We developed an age-structured dynamic compartmental model of COVID-19 transmission, similar to previously published models. 10 Model compartments stratify the population into susceptible, exposed, symptomatic infected, asymptomatic infected, and recovered individuals. We derived initial ranges for model parameters including length of incubation and infectious periods, and the basic reproductive number (R0), by drawing from prior COVID-19 modelin.....
Document: We developed an age-structured dynamic compartmental model of COVID-19 transmission, similar to previously published models. 10 Model compartments stratify the population into susceptible, exposed, symptomatic infected, asymptomatic infected, and recovered individuals. We derived initial ranges for model parameters including length of incubation and infectious periods, and the basic reproductive number (R0), by drawing from prior COVID-19 modeling studies (Table 1) , and from prior studies on age-specific contact patterns (sources in Supplemental Information). Initial parameter ranges were specified to envelop at least the high and low point estimates used in other modeling studies, and to encompass uncertainty ranges from those studies when provided (sources in Supplemental Information).
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