Author: Shovonlal Roy
Title: COVID-19 pandemic: Impact of lockdown, contact and non-contact transmissions on infection dynamics Document date: 2020_4_7
ID: 61ta81iy_24
Snippet: A reduced impact of lockdown on primary peak needs to be considered in conjunction with characteristics of the enforced secondary peak. For any level of reduction in contact and non-contact transmission, the secondary peak and its occurrence depend on the duration of lockdown measures (third and fourth window, Fig. 4) . Under a hypothetical scenario, with a 75% reduction in contact transmission and 10% reduction in non-contact reduction, the seco.....
Document: A reduced impact of lockdown on primary peak needs to be considered in conjunction with characteristics of the enforced secondary peak. For any level of reduction in contact and non-contact transmission, the secondary peak and its occurrence depend on the duration of lockdown measures (third and fourth window, Fig. 4) . Under a hypothetical scenario, with a 75% reduction in contact transmission and 10% reduction in non-contact reduction, the secondary peak can be vigorous: higher than the primary peak, and occurring within 60 days of the first peak (black lines, in third and fourth window, Fig. 4 ).
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