Author: Jane Courtney
Title: COVID-19: Tracking the Pandemic with A Simple Curve Approximation Tool (SCAT) Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 6kl6uso6_4
Snippet: Those governments that have been slower to react have cited varied sources in explaining their reasons for inaction. For example, in the UK, the much cited Imperial College Report 2 has been used to guide national policy. Although the epidemiological curve is presented in this report, no details are given as to how it was produced, making it impossible to recreate. Nonetheless, the model is based on previous work 3 and has considerable merit. It .....
Document: Those governments that have been slower to react have cited varied sources in explaining their reasons for inaction. For example, in the UK, the much cited Imperial College Report 2 has been used to guide national policy. Although the epidemiological curve is presented in this report, no details are given as to how it was produced, making it impossible to recreate. Nonetheless, the model is based on previous work 3 and has considerable merit. It uses population density, household data, school data, workplace data as well as commuting and travel data to ultimately construct the curve. This is certainly useful when modelling an epidemic in a country but is quite difficult to extend to a pandemic or to recreate for different diseases or populations.
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