Author: Alex Arenas; Wesley Cota; Jesus Gomez-Gardenes; Sergio Gomez; Clara Granell; Joan T. Matamalas; David Soriano-Panos; Benjamin Steinegger
Title: Derivation of the effective reproduction number R for COVID-19 in relation to mobility restrictions and confinement Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: nyjjaasw_200
Snippet: Supplementary Figure 2 shows that our model is able to accurately predict not only the overall evolution of the total number of cases at the national scale but also their spatial distribution across the different autonomous regions. Moreover, the most typical trend observed so far is an exponential growth of the number of cases, thus clearly suggesting that the disease was spreading freely in most of the territories when the model was calibrated......
Document: Supplementary Figure 2 shows that our model is able to accurately predict not only the overall evolution of the total number of cases at the national scale but also their spatial distribution across the different autonomous regions. Moreover, the most typical trend observed so far is an exponential growth of the number of cases, thus clearly suggesting that the disease was spreading freely in most of the territories when the model was calibrated. Note, however, that there are some exceptions such as La Rioja or PaÃs Vasco in which some strong policies targeting the most affected areas were previously promoted to slow down COVID-19 propagation.
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