Author: Alex Arenas; Wesley Cota; Jesus Gomez-Gardenes; Sergio Gomez; Clara Granell; Joan T. Matamalas; David Soriano-Panos; Benjamin Steinegger
Title: Derivation of the effective reproduction number R for COVID-19 in relation to mobility restrictions and confinement Document date: 2020_4_8
ID: nyjjaasw_22
Snippet: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.06.20054320 doi: medRxiv preprint change for κ 0 between 0.6 − 0.8 in the behavior of the epidemic curve. In particular, for large enough values of κ 0 the epidemic curve reaches its maximum soon after containment is put in place, achieving a completely new scenario, referred to as -bending the curve-, in which prevalence decrease ste.....
Document: is the (which was not peer-reviewed) The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.06.20054320 doi: medRxiv preprint change for κ 0 between 0.6 − 0.8 in the behavior of the epidemic curve. In particular, for large enough values of κ 0 the epidemic curve reaches its maximum soon after containment is put in place, achieving a completely new scenario, referred to as -bending the curve-, in which prevalence decrease steadily and the epidemic wave is shortened. The two regimes are separated by the condition R(t c ) translating into a critical value of confinement, κ c 0 .
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