Author: Patrick Jenny; David F Jenny; Hossein Gorji; Markus Arnoldini; Wolf-Dietrich Hardt
Title: Dynamic Modeling to Identify Mitigation Strategies for Covid-19 Pandemic Document date: 2020_3_30
ID: ngsstnpr_41
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20045237 doi: medRxiv preprint As a final mitigation strategy, we investigated a combination of social distancing and mass testing, i.e., from day 50 to 100 a 70% lower infection rate due to social distancing is considered, followed by a one year period with 1.7666 times higher detection rate. The corresponding plots are shown in Fig. .....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint (which was not peer-reviewed) is the . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.27.20045237 doi: medRxiv preprint As a final mitigation strategy, we investigated a combination of social distancing and mass testing, i.e., from day 50 to 100 a 70% lower infection rate due to social distancing is considered, followed by a one year period with 1.7666 times higher detection rate. The corresponding plots are shown in Fig. 7 . One can see that extreme social distancing brings the number of infections down and moderate testing keeps the values constant. Again, after the testing phase ends there is a delayed outbreak leading to the same end result as in the base case. In the bottom logarithmic plots of Fig. 7 the detected infected population (dotted lines) is shown together with the intensive care unit capacity (horizontal long dashed lines).
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- infection rate and intensive care unit: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73
- infection rate and intensive care unit capacity: 1, 2, 3
- infection rate and logarithmic plot: 1
- infection rate and mass testing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
- infection rate and mass testing social distancing: 1
- infection rate and mitigation strategy: 1, 2, 3, 4
- infection rate and social distancing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80
- infection rate and testing phase: 1, 2, 3
- infection rate and value keep: 1
- infection rate and year period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20
- intensive care and logarithmic plot: 1
- intensive care and mass testing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- intensive care and mass testing social distancing: 1, 2, 3, 4
- intensive care and mitigation strategy: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11
- intensive care and moderate testing: 1, 2, 3
- intensive care and social distancing: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76
- social distancing and testing phase: 1, 2, 3
- social distancing and value keep: 1
- social distancing and year period: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date