Author: Hongzhe Zhang; Xiaohang Zhao; Kexin Yin; Yiren Yan; Wei Qian; Bintong Chen; Xiao Fang
Title: Dynamic Estimation of Epidemiological Parameters of COVID-19 Outbreak and Effects of Interventions on Its Spread Document date: 2020_4_6
ID: ff4937mj_13
Snippet: To quantitatively evaluate what would have occurred without the intervention, we used the SIQR parameters estimated by our method for the window between January 31, 2020 and February 5, 2020 to exclude any intervention effect of large scale hospitalization. We then ran the SIQR model to compute the hypothetical trajectory of the cumulative numbers of infected cases for the evaluation period, with the estimated number of infections on February 5, .....
Document: To quantitatively evaluate what would have occurred without the intervention, we used the SIQR parameters estimated by our method for the window between January 31, 2020 and February 5, 2020 to exclude any intervention effect of large scale hospitalization. We then ran the SIQR model to compute the hypothetical trajectory of the cumulative numbers of infected cases for the evaluation period, with the estimated number of infections on February 5, 2020 as the initial state. In Fig. 4 (B) , the trajectories are plotted in a dotted red line, in comparison to the estimated true cumulative numbers of infected cases 6 All rights reserved. No reuse allowed without permission. the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
Search related documents:
Co phrase search for related documents- cumulative number and estimate number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25
- cumulative number and evaluation period: 1
- cumulative number and infected case: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- cumulative number and infected case cumulative number: 1, 2, 3, 4
- cumulative number and infection estimate number: 1, 2
- cumulative number and initial state: 1, 2
- cumulative number and intervention effect: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5
- cumulative number and intervention occur: 1
- estimate number and infected case: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14
- estimate number and infection estimate number: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21
- estimate number and intervention effect: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
- estimate number and intervention occur: 1, 2
- evaluation period and initial state: 1
- evaluation period and intervention effect: 1
- evaluation period and large scale hospitalization: 1
- infected case and intervention effect: 1, 2
- initial state and intervention effect: 1, 2
- intervention effect and large scale hospitalization: 1
Co phrase search for related documents, hyperlinks ordered by date