Author: Mirjam E Kretzschmar; Ganna Rozhnova; Michiel E van Boven
Title: Effectiveness of isolation and contact tracing for containment and slowing down a COVID-19 epidemic: a modelling study Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: kgkcgpmq_17
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033738 doi: medRxiv preprint social distancing reduces non-household contacts only by 50%, tracing and isolation also of 360 non-household contacts is needed for containment. If this is not possible, for example due 361 to constraints of the public health system, tracing and isolation of household contacts can at 362 least substantially increase the doubling time of the.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033738 doi: medRxiv preprint social distancing reduces non-household contacts only by 50%, tracing and isolation also of 360 non-household contacts is needed for containment. If this is not possible, for example due 361 to constraints of the public health system, tracing and isolation of household contacts can at 362 least substantially increase the doubling time of the epidemic (Figure 3b ). is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. A limitation of the analyses presented here is that they apply to a situation in which the 402 epidemic is described by a branching process and is growing exponentially. This also applies 403 to another modelling using a (one-type) branching process.
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