Author: Adam J Kucharski; Timothy W Russell; Charlie Diamond; Yang Liu; John Edmunds; Sebastian Funk; Rosalind M Eggo
Title: Early dynamics of transmission and control of COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study Document date: 2020_2_2
ID: gmi1ewc2_4
Snippet: Evidence before this study: We searched PubMed, BioRxiv and MedRxiv for articles published up to 10 th February 2020 using the keywords "2019-nCoV", "novel coronavirus", "COVID-19", "SARS-CoV-2" AND "reproduction number", "R0", "transmission". We found several estimates of the basic reproduction number, R 0 , including average exponential growth rate estimates based on inferred or observed cases at a recent time point (13, 14) and early growth of.....
Document: Evidence before this study: We searched PubMed, BioRxiv and MedRxiv for articles published up to 10 th February 2020 using the keywords "2019-nCoV", "novel coronavirus", "COVID-19", "SARS-CoV-2" AND "reproduction number", "R0", "transmission". We found several estimates of the basic reproduction number, R 0 , including average exponential growth rate estimates based on inferred or observed cases at a recent time point (13, 14) and early growth of the outbreak in China (15, 16) . However, we identified no estimates of how R 0 had changed in Wuhan since control measures were introduced in late January, or estimates that jointly fitted to data within Wuhan with international exported cases and evacuation flights.
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