Selected article for: "contact tracing and non pharmaceutical intervention"
Author: Dawd S Siraj; Amir S Siraj; Abigail Mapes
Title: Early estimates of COVID-19 infections in small, medium and large population clusters
  • Document date: 2020_4_11
    • ID: kq72rtia_26
    Snippet: We developed a stochastic S-E-I-R mathematical model with parameters from recent published works, to estimate infections within the first 90 days of initial cases for scenarios more realistic to many African settings in terms of population size and capacity to carry out effective contact tracing. Our estimates show effective contact tracing could bring down the number of infections and associated deaths to manageable levels when implemented early.....
    Document: We developed a stochastic S-E-I-R mathematical model with parameters from recent published works, to estimate infections within the first 90 days of initial cases for scenarios more realistic to many African settings in terms of population size and capacity to carry out effective contact tracing. Our estimates show effective contact tracing could bring down the number of infections and associated deaths to manageable levels when implemented early. Our results confirm the significant positive role contact tracing play as the most reliable non-pharmaceutical intervention against SARS-Cov-2 [8, 11] .

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