Author: Lurie, Mark N; Silva, Joe; Yorlets, Rachel R; Tao, Jun; Chan, Philip A
Title: COVID-19 epidemic doubling time in the United States before and during stay-at-home restrictions Cord-id: 1bnn9ek6 Document date: 2020_8_1
ID: 1bnn9ek6
Snippet: INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 has spread rapidly in the United States since January 2020. METHODS: We estimated mean epidemic doubling time, an important measure of epidemic growth, nationally, by state, and in association with stay-at-home orders. RESULTS: Epidemic doubling time in the US was 2.68 days (95%CI:2.30–3.24) prior to widespread mitigation efforts, increasing by 460% to 15 days (95%CI:12.89-17.94) during the mitigation phase. Among states without stay-at-home orders, median increase in do
Document: INTRODUCTION: COVID-19 has spread rapidly in the United States since January 2020. METHODS: We estimated mean epidemic doubling time, an important measure of epidemic growth, nationally, by state, and in association with stay-at-home orders. RESULTS: Epidemic doubling time in the US was 2.68 days (95%CI:2.30–3.24) prior to widespread mitigation efforts, increasing by 460% to 15 days (95%CI:12.89-17.94) during the mitigation phase. Among states without stay-at-home orders, median increase in doubling time was 60% (95%CI: 9.2-223.3) while for states with stay-at-home orders, median increase was 269% (95%CI: 277.0-394.0). DISCUSSION: Statewide mitigation strategies were strongly associated with increased epidemic doubling time.
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