Author: Mirjam E Kretzschmar; Ganna Rozhnova; Michiel E van Boven
Title: Effectiveness of isolation and contact tracing for containment and slowing down a COVID-19 epidemic: a modelling study Document date: 2020_3_13
ID: kgkcgpmq_7
Snippet: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033738 doi: medRxiv preprint reduced. This is implemented by a reduction factor in the mean of the negative binomial 179 distribution describing non-household contact numbers. The reduction factor for social 180 distancing was varied between 0% and 95%. In scenarios with social distancing we assumed 181 that only 60% of cases are symptomatic or can be ascertained. If an.....
Document: The copyright holder for this preprint . https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.10.20033738 doi: medRxiv preprint reduced. This is implemented by a reduction factor in the mean of the negative binomial 179 distribution describing non-household contact numbers. The reduction factor for social 180 distancing was varied between 0% and 95%. In scenarios with social distancing we assumed 181 that only 60% of cases are symptomatic or can be ascertained. If an individual is diagnosed, contacts will be traced, and in case they are infected will be 199 diagnosed and isolated. Tracing goes back in time to trace all contacts during the infectious 200 period of the index case. There may be a delay before contacts are found and diagnosed, 201 . CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a is the author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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