Selected article for: "early case and epidemic early phase"

Author: Benjamin F Maier; Dirk Brockmann
Title: Effective containment explains sub-exponential growth in confirmed cases of recent COVID-19 outbreak in Mainland China
  • Document date: 2020_2_20
  • ID: j0nm444m_48
    Snippet: Appendix B: Case-number development in early phase of the epidemic In a typical outbreak scenario only few people are infected initially, such that S(0) = 1 − ε and I(0) = with ε 1, which implies that the depletion of susceptibles available to the transmission process will be dominated by shutdown policies. This assumption effectively linearizes Eq. (1), yielding the solution.....
    Document: Appendix B: Case-number development in early phase of the epidemic In a typical outbreak scenario only few people are infected initially, such that S(0) = 1 − ε and I(0) = with ε 1, which implies that the depletion of susceptibles available to the transmission process will be dominated by shutdown policies. This assumption effectively linearizes Eq. (1), yielding the solution

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