Author: Mihir Mehta; Juxihong Julaiti; Paul Griffin; Soundar Kumara
Title: Early Stage Prediction of US County Vulnerability to the COVID-19 Pandemic Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: 901ghexi_2
Snippet: We have developed a three-stage machine learning model to estimate COVID-19 spread outcomes at the US county level. In the first stage, we estimate the probability that a county has at least one confirmed COVID-19 case. In the second stage, we estimate the number of COVID-19 occurrences given that county has at least one case. Finally, we combine the results from the two stages to estimate those counties that have the greatest and least vulnerabi.....
Document: We have developed a three-stage machine learning model to estimate COVID-19 spread outcomes at the US county level. In the first stage, we estimate the probability that a county has at least one confirmed COVID-19 case. In the second stage, we estimate the number of COVID-19 occurrences given that county has at least one case. Finally, we combine the results from the two stages to estimate those counties that have the greatest and least vulnerability for changes in disease prevalence for the next five-day period.
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