Author: Hsiang-Yu Yuan; Axiu Mao; Guiyuan Han; Hsiangkuo Yuan; Dirk Pfeiffer
Title: Effectiveness of quarantine measure on transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in Hong Kong Document date: 2020_4_11
ID: byp9heum_60
Snippet: To obtain the number of imported cases, the model has to generate transmission dynamics in source regions is to seed the target region (Hong Kong). We modified an SIR to construct newly infected numbers that were close to the observed confirmed numbers in Wuhan and Mainland China (outside Wuhan). . Using 0 = 2.92, we can obtain = 0 = 0.3476 in Mainland China. We also assumed the recovery rate is same for both transmission dynamics in Mainland Chi.....
Document: To obtain the number of imported cases, the model has to generate transmission dynamics in source regions is to seed the target region (Hong Kong). We modified an SIR to construct newly infected numbers that were close to the observed confirmed numbers in Wuhan and Mainland China (outside Wuhan). . Using 0 = 2.92, we can obtain = 0 = 0.3476 in Mainland China. We also assumed the recovery rate is same for both transmission dynamics in Mainland China and in Hong Kong.
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