Author: Michael L Jackson; Gregory R Hart; Denise J McCulloch; Amanda Adler; Elisabeth Brandstetter; Kairsten Fay; Peter Han; Kirsten Lacombe; Jover Lee; Thomas Sibley; Deborah A Nickerson; Mark Rieder; Lea Starita; Janet A Englund; Trevor Bedford; Helen Chu; Michael Famulare
Title: Effects of weather-related social distancing on city-scale transmission of respiratory viruses Document date: 2020_3_3
ID: ngbfiws5_11
Snippet: We modeled daily counts of Seattle Flu Study specimens testing positive for each of nine respiratory viruses using the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) framework, allowing for decreases both in virus transmission and in probability of detection by surveillance during the period of school and traffic disruption ( Figure 2 ). The transient weather-related decrease in effective contact rates ranged from 16.2% (95% CI, 7.1-24.2%) for c.....
Document: We modeled daily counts of Seattle Flu Study specimens testing positive for each of nine respiratory viruses using the Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) framework, allowing for decreases both in virus transmission and in probability of detection by surveillance during the period of school and traffic disruption ( Figure 2 ). The transient weather-related decrease in effective contact rates ranged from 16.2% (95% CI, 7.1-24.2%) for coronavirus to 94.6% (95% CI, 70.7-100%) for RSV A (Table 1 ). 5 . CC-BY-ND 4.0 International license It is made available under a author/funder, who has granted medRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity.
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