Author: Michael L Jackson; Gregory R Hart; Denise J McCulloch; Amanda Adler; Elisabeth Brandstetter; Kairsten Fay; Peter Han; Kirsten Lacombe; Jover Lee; Thomas Sibley; Deborah A Nickerson; Mark Rieder; Lea Starita; Janet A Englund; Trevor Bedford; Helen Chu; Michael Famulare
Title: Effects of weather-related social distancing on city-scale transmission of respiratory viruses Document date: 2020_3_3
ID: ngbfiws5_26
Snippet: , and I are the proportion of the population that is susceptible, infected but not yet infectious, and infectious, respectively. β is the effective contact rate, σ is the rate of movement from pre-infectious to infectious ,and γ is the rate of loss of infectiousness. The β ' is the strength of the interruption to disease transmission during the extreme weather event, which operates on a square pulse θ t between times t start and t end . In t.....
Document: , and I are the proportion of the population that is susceptible, infected but not yet infectious, and infectious, respectively. β is the effective contact rate, σ is the rate of movement from pre-infectious to infectious ,and γ is the rate of loss of infectiousness. The β ' is the strength of the interruption to disease transmission during the extreme weather event, which operates on a square pulse θ t between times t start and t end . In the observation model, H is the number of observed infections, p is the convolution of sampling probability and population size. The α parameter is the strength of the interruption of observation during the extreme weather event, which is assumed to be -10% based on hospital visit data (Figure 1 ).
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