Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) predicts critical illness and kidney failure in patients admitted to the intensive care unit

Reisinger, Alexander C.; Niedrist, Tobias; Posch, Florian; Hatzl, Stefan; Hackl, Gerald; Prattes, Juergen; Schilcher, Gernot; Meißl, Anna-Maria; Raggam, Reinhard B.; Herrmann, Markus; Eller, Philipp

Soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR) is an inflammatory biomarker and risk factor for kidney diseases, with a potential prognostic value in critically ill patients. In this monocentric prospective study, we measured plasma suPAR levels immediately after ICU admission in unselected 237 consecutive patients using a turbidimetric assay. Primary objective was the prognostic value for ICU- and 28-day mortality. Secondary objectives were association with sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, coagulation and inflammation markers, AKI-3 and differences in prespecified subgroups. Median suPAR levels were 8.0 ng/mL [25th-75th percentile 4.3–14.4], with lower levels in ICU survivors than non-survivors (6.7 vs. 11.6 ng/mL, p < 0.001). SuPAR levels were higher in COVID-19, kidney disease, moderate-to-severe liver disease, and sepsis. ICU mortality increased by an odds ratio (OR) of 4.7 in patients with the highest compared to lowest quartile suPAR. Kaplan–Meier overall survival estimates at 3 months were 63% and 49%, in patients with suPAR below/above 12 ng/mL (log-rank p = 0.027). Due to an observed interaction between SOFA score and suPAR, we performed a random forest method identifying cutoffs. ICU mortality was 53%, 17% and 2% in patients with a SOFA score > 7, SOFA ≤ 7 & suPAR > 8 ng/mL, and SOFA score ≤ 7 & suPAR ≤ 8 ng/mL, respectively. suPAR was a significant predictor for AKI-3 occurrence (OR per doubling 1.89, 95% CI: 1.20–2.98; p = 0.006). suPAR levels at ICU admission may offer additional value for risk stratification especially in ICU patients with moderate organ dysfunction as reflected by a SOFA score ≤ 7.