Author: Liangrong Peng; Wuyue Yang; Dongyan Zhang; Changjing Zhuge; Liu Hong
Title: Epidemic analysis of COVID-19 in China by dynamical modeling Document date: 2020_2_18
ID: m87tapjp_36
Snippet: Most importantly, with the model and parameters in hand, we can carry out simulations for a longer time and forecast the potential tendency of the COVID-19 epidemic. In Fig. 4 and Fig. 5a -b, the predicted cumulative number of quarantined cases and the current number of exposed cases plus infectious cases are plotted for next 30 days as well as for a shorter period of next 13 days. Official published data by NHC of China from Feb......
Document: Most importantly, with the model and parameters in hand, we can carry out simulations for a longer time and forecast the potential tendency of the COVID-19 epidemic. In Fig. 4 and Fig. 5a -b, the predicted cumulative number of quarantined cases and the current number of exposed cases plus infectious cases are plotted for next 30 days as well as for a shorter period of next 13 days. Official published data by NHC of China from Feb.
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